2025-07-09T19:36:43Z

Create a Monte Carlo model that simulates the product recovering value. Use it to derive a probability distribution for the valuation.

Dorian Taylor

Establishing the value of the outcome should be part of the discovery process.

How does one valuate an outcome that hasn't happened yet?

Inventory all the mechanisms by which the outcome creates marginal value (e.g. causes one sale, prevents one churn, eliminates some cost…).

Process Model Issues